A-Mark Precious Metals Market News

Gold Stocks About To Undertake Feasibility Studies: The Good, The Bad, The Maybe

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 22, 2012 3:42 PM

By Vatalyst:

It's been an interesting year for gold, with a declining market somehow creating high revenue for gold mining companies. As global and local economies bounce around, some gold stocks have managed to do well, while others are barely staying afloat.

Below, I present five gold mining companies that are involved or soon to be involved in feasibility studies for new projects. I believe that two of these stand at the top of their game, due to smart expansion practices as well as consolidation of relationships with partners. In comparison, two other companies have been slow to adapt, resulting in mistakes that trapped them in a narrow focus when the market for jewelry gold dropped by 10% last year.

With predictions stating that the gold market is going to improve this year in areas like India, the future depends largely on how flexible these companies can be, which is why I'm


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Silver Prices - Which Way Next?

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 22, 2012 4:03 PM

By MetalMiner:

By Stuart Burns

Like gold, the silver price has risen since the start of this year after hitting a one-year trough in December, leading some to suggest that silver is set for a rebound on the coattails of gold.

(Click charts to expand)

Source: Kitco

But while there has always been a link between the two, silver’s more lackluster performance of late has been a reflection of the differences (rather than the similarities) between the two metals. Some 60 percent of silver is used in industrial applications and the largest price driver in recent years has been physical demand from China, which became a net importer from 2008.

Source: Standard Bank

As this graph and accompanying analysis in a recent Standard Bank report to clients illustrates, silver imports into China have been falling as industrial demand has slackened; PMI taken here as an indication of demand direction.

The SB team


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The Enduring Popularity Of Gold

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 22, 2012 2:49 PM

By Frank Holmes:

The World Gold Council (WGC) reaffirmed the power of the Love Trade in its 2011 Gold Demand Trends report released this week. Gold demand grew 0.4 percent in 2011, despite a 28 percent year-over-year increase in bullion's average price.

After flirting with the top spot for some time, China emerged as the world's largest gold market for jewelry and investment during the fourth quarter of 2011 as demand in India weakened. This is the first time China's demand outpaced India's in 11 quarters. However, India did retain the gold demand crown for the entire year, purchasing 933 tons compared with China's demand of 770 tons.

I always say the trend is your friend, and I believe China's increasing demand for gold is one trend that is just getting started. Although gold imports from Hong Kong were cut in half in December, HSBC Global Research reports that overall gold imports from


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Gold Miners Set To Lead Strongly Again?

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 22, 2012 1:14 PM

By GLD) and Gold stocks (GDX) to see if there is a level of consistency in the return of inflation expectations to precious metal investors. I have stated numerous times that I did not believe Gold would outperform stocks more broadly this time around simply because no other area of the investable landscape can absorb the huge amounts of capital that will eventually come out of bonds and into something else (stocks). Gold can go up, but I suspect that stocks could go up quite a bit more. My colleague Edward Dempsey, Chief Investment Officer of Pension Partners, addressed this at length in his latest video commentary.

What about Gold Miners? Gold can


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Gold And Silver Way Off Inflation-Adjusted Highs

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 22, 2012 12:33 PM

By Jason Hamlin:

I think it is laughable when analysts go on television and claim that precious metals are in a bubble that is about to pop: "Get out of this barbarous relic while you still can!"

These same people claimed that gold at $800, $1,000 and $1,500 were tops as well. If these sages keep at it, they will get it right eventually, but I suspect it will be another three to four years before this occurs. In my view, the precious metals bull market still has a long way to go and the current consolidation is offering an excellent opportunity to load up the boat.

There are many ways to judge if an asset class is in a bubble. One of the key measures is investor participation, or in our case, the percentage of global assets invested in gold or gold mining shares. While this percentage has historically been above 20%,


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Gold Gets Nervous

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 22, 2012 11:42 AM

By Market Blog:

By David Berman

Is gold the biggest winner from the Greek bailout? It was certainly on a tear on Tuesday, rising to $1,757 (U.S.) an ounce, up $22 or 1.3 per cent – which glows next to slight gains among U.S. stocks, dips in European stocks, and shrugs in the European bond market.

Gold producers are doing even better. The NYSE Arca Gold BUGS index of global producers is up 2.8 per cent in afternoon trading, marking its biggest one-day gain in nearly a month. Canadian gold producers, in particular, are shining: Barrick Gold Corp. (ABX) is up 2.9 per cent and Goldcorp Inc. (GG)is up 3 per cent, which is helping to deliver triple-digit gains for the broader S&P/TSX composite index.

Bloomberg News quoted Bayram Dincer, an analyst at LGT Capital Management: “Long-term forward-looking gold investors are not convinced that the steps are big enough to solve the Greek


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In Search Of Silver

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 22, 2012 11:50 AM

By Will Bancroft:

In this article about the silver price, Will Bancroft takes a look at what the last year has delivered for silver investors, and what the future of silver investment might hold. Read on for more on what Professor Roy Jastram called "the restless metal".

Silver has been its normal restless self this last year, but holders of silver bullion might not feel adequately rewarded. The metal of the moon has witnessed soaring highs to within touching distance of $50/ounce, two vicious chops, but the silver price crucially sits only a few per cent higher than in February 2011. Volatility is part and parcel of silver investment, but silver investors have not been rewarded this last 12 months with the price appreciation they might have hoped for. The gold silver ratio now sits just below 52.

(Click chart to expand)

Why no gains in the silver price?

In early November 2011,


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Commodity Trading Trends: Silver Futures Take The Lead For 2012

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 22, 2012 8:46 AM

By CommodityHQ:

By Jared Cummans

When investors think of precious metals, their go to image is gold. Gold has gobbled up headlines over the past year as it has smashed through historical highs and been a major point of contention among the financial world. But digging deeper than gold, there is another precious metal that is outperforming its popular counterpart; silver. While gold’s massive gains were thrust into the spotlight, silver has been able to provide massive returns without all of the fame and popularity. The investment thesis behind silver is also different from gold, as silver is a relatively practical metal from an industrial standpoint, but is also used as a safe haven metal much like gold [see also Why No Investor Should Own GLD].

For the time being, silver futures are leading all commodities on the year, as they have overtaken the first place crown that had been held by


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Dow 13,000? Try That Priced In Gold

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 21, 2012 2:32 PM

By Plan B Economics:

Today the DJIA index (DIA) touched 13,000 for the first time since May 2008. Mainstream media has printed articles suggesting we will again witness a flood of retail investors throwing money at the markets now that we've broken a psychological barrier.

At the same time, we have analysts arguing that Dow 13,000 is a meaningless number. I tend to agree.

Quite simply, some of the biggest stock market booms in history were coupled with the some of the biggest currency devaluations in history. The Weimar Republic and Zimbabwe are two examples that come to mind.

I'm not saying that the US is anywhere close to the Weimar Republic or other hyperinflationary environments (at least, not yet), but the same principles apply. With trillions of dollars injected by central banks into the global financial markets over the past few years, I can't help but think these stock market gains are somewhat


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Greek Bailout Sparks Risk On Rally In Gold, Silver And Industrial Metals

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 21, 2012 1:33 PM

By Jeb Handwerger:

The Chinese Ideographs for crisis is a two edged sword. One blade is pointed upward to forecast opportunity, the other symbol is pointed downward to signify danger. The short term deflationary crisis in 2011 provided a unique opportunity to buy undervalued miners at historic bargain basement prices.

(Click charts to enlarge)

In 2012 the market metrics have been directed upwards for gold (GDX), silver (SIL), uranium(URA) and rare earth miners(REMX) as the 20 and 50 day moving averages turn upward. There is an old truism that fighting the tape can be dangerous for your financial health. It is suspected that the Europeans will try to assuage fears on a Greek bailout to the tune of $172 billon to solidify a global market reversal...for the time being.

This event will be coinciding with the general equity markets breaking through key resistance levels and previous 52 week highs. This powerful move in


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Gold Miners: The Run Is Done

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 21, 2012 2:41 AM

By Marco G.:

Gold miners have not been leveraging the rise in the price of the gold since the summer of 2011. This fact has been acknowledged by investors, writers and pundits. In wrestling with this concept, I decided to pursue this line of thought further with some backwards analysis of historical chart prices.

I used the HUI index of the 15 largest gold miners that do not largely hedge their gold outputs for comparison, since even if it is not tradable, it has a history that is chartable. The HUI is a dollar weighted index, with rebalancing performed infrequently every quarter. The miner components of this index are listed as following:

HUI Gold Bugs Index

This list is complete and up-to-date as of January 12, 2012.

Company name Symbol Weighting [nb 1]
Goldcorp Inc NYSE: GG 16.20%
Barrick Gold NYSE: ABX 15.37%
Newmont Mining NYSE: NEM 10.88%
Harmony Gold Mining Adr NYSE:

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Why Gold Miners Are Poorly Leveraged To The Price Of Gold

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 21, 2012 3:20 AM

By Marco G.:

Gold miners are economically known as price-takers, as they normally sell into the market and their sales would not be influential enough to move the market pricing for this golden commodity that they produce. Even as price-takers, the gold miners are presently selling their commodity in a rising price environment and should therefore be making good profits that attract investors to their stock. It would be reasonable to assume that a gold miner's stock price should leverage the gain in the price of gold. However, that is not the case presently, as written about here. This article will attempt to examine gold miners from various viewpoints, to ascertain what may be the issue in their poor leverage to the price of gold.

Operational Leverage - Not

In accounting theory, companies that have high fixed costs and low variable costs are classified as having high operational leverage. This means that the


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Did China's Central Bank Buy 139 Tonnes Of Gold In The Fourth Quarter?

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 20, 2012 3:17 PM

By Tim Iacono:

After surging in January, prices for gold and silver have been remarkably steady through the first three weeks of February, setting the stage for a possible big move sometime in the period ahead - direction unknown - as bearish technical factors contrast with bullish reports of increased demand by China, India, and central banks around the world.

For the week, the gold price rose less than 0.1 percent, from $1,722.10 an ounce to $1,723.80, as the silver price fell 0.9 percent, from $33.59 an ounce to $33.28. Gold is now up 10.0 percent for the year, but down 10.3 percent from its high last year, and silver has risen 19.4 percent so far in 2012, down 32.8 percent from its peak last spring.

If not for the recent series of lower highs and lower lows since record prices were seen last summer, you'd think that gold is setting itself up


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Why Buffett Dislikes Gold

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 20, 2012 3:34 PM

By CommodityHQ:

By Stoyan Bojinov

When the Oracle of Omaha speaks, investors tend to listen. In his latest prophecy, Warren Buffett makes the case for why stocks deserve a place in your portfolio over gold any day. His criticism of the precious metal stems from his definition of investing; which is foregoing consumption now in order to have the ability to consume more in the future. Buffet offers an insightful overview of the investment landscape, splitting up the financial universe in three categories: currency-based investments, nonproductive assets, and productive assets.

As you may have already guessed, the Wall Street legend rightfully classifies gold under the nonproductive label. Because bars of gold don’t pay a dividend, and no matter how long you safeguard them for they won’t ever produce anything, the precious metal lacks luster when it comes to utility. Buffet points to a rather simple explanation for why anyone would ever invest


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The Long Case For Barrick Gold Corporation In 2012

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 20, 2012 7:47 AM

By Del Bosque:

So far this year gold´s price has climbed over 10%. And given market circumstances (the sheer number of recession-ravaged countries, continued crisis for the euro and industrialization from China in particular), it is set to rise further in 2012. This article scrutinizes the recent performance and future predictions for the largest cap gold company in the industry, Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX).

Barrick Gold Corporation Common in 2012

Since the start of February, Barrick's share price has fallen from $49.26 to $47.03 at the time of writing, though this figure is still higher than end of December 2011 figures, when Barrick's stock price closed the year at $45.25. The world´s biggest gold company announced that it would be issuing a quarterly dividend of US15 cents, payable on March 15.

Barrick just announced its Q4 financial results with net earnings growing 15%. The company is tipped by many analysts for further growth


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Silver's Potential Big Move: An Update

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 20, 2012 3:08 AM

By Avi Gilburt:

Last week, I explained that I was still expecting one more drop by the metal, which we did see. However, based upon the pattern of the overall recent consolidation, it has opened other options to the larger potential rally in which silver is now engaged.

Also, as I have mentioned in the past, February has traditionally been a strong rallying month for silver, but, clearly, that never guarantees an actual rally occurring. Furthermore, the CME reducing its margin requirements will provide valuable firepower in the next move up in silver, which is still expected to be quite powerful, and will most likely occur in March.

However, I have to modify my support region based upon the current pattern I am seeing. Whereas, in the prior article, I wanted to see the 31.85 region hold as support, and it is still possible that it will, the downside support region has now


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Glance At Big Golds: Barrick, Goldcorp

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 20, 2012 4:44 AM

By Marco G.:

The earnings season for large cap gold miners has just kicked off on February 15th and the reports from the gold darlings, Barrick (ABX) and Goldcorp (GG) should be interesting.

Prior to looking at the recently completed and announced financial years, below are the charts for Barrick and Goldcorp for 2011. The companies' stock prices are compared with the price of the GLD ETF (used as a proxy for the gold price) in the yellow trace.

Stock Price Charts for 2011

Barrick Gold Corporation - ABX

(click on chart to enlarge)

There are two main observations from the above chart other than that the Barrick stock price is rather choppy over the past year while presenting little appreciation considering the gold price rise.

Firstly, there was a sharp price drop in May 2011, marked with the white oval and I wondered what was the cause of that.

Secondly, the Barrick


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Silver Could Double By Year's End

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 19, 2012 6:03 AM

By Jason Hamlin:

Were you cursing at your computer screen when silver nearly tripled during the short 9 months from September 2010 to May 2011? Silver at $20 seemed like an insurmountable threshold for quite some time. This caused many silver investors to give up, completely missing the ensuing ride. I believe silver is about to offer a similar ride. While it is unlikely to match the 180% advance mentioned above, look for silver to make new highs in the coming months, with the potential to double to $65 by year end.

Following the record gains in silver during late 2010 and early 2011, the metal has since crashed towards $25 and sentiment has crashed along with it. The threat of euro nations defaulting, banks announcing they are, well, bankrupt, and a series of other factors have scared away many of the Johnny-come-lately silver bulls. I think too many investors are underestimating the


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James Turk More Bullish On Silver Than Gold

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 19, 2012 6:43 AM

By Hard Assets Investor:

GoldMoney founder sees more upside with the white metal in 2012.

James Turk is founder and chairman of GoldMoney.com, which is a European-based precious metals firm that presently safeguards $2.1 billion of precious metals assets owned by customers. Turk is a popular speaker at conferences as well as on radio and television. His latest book is “The Coming Collapse of the Dollar.” HAI Managing Editor Drew Voros caught up with Turk to discuss central bank gold buying, the debasing of the dollar and why he favors silver over gold.

Hard Assets Investor: You’ve written that once silver crosses $35 an ounce, you expect it to hit $70 in two to three months. You're attributing this to a descending wedge price pattern. Could you explain this for readers?

James Turk: I said it would hit $68 to $70. And the descending wedge pattern is really only part of the overall analysis


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5 'Hot' Gold Stocks To Generate Wealth Today

Source: SeekingAlpha - Feb 17, 2012 2:14 PM

By Stock Croc:

Gold Sector

Investments in gold have always remained a safe bet amongst believers of trade. Since time immemorial, the glitter of gold has always attracted man resulting in establishment of gold standards even in currencies. At the time when the world is undergoing a financial turmoil, gold has provided a safe haven for those who want to see a secure future. This has lead to an unbelievable rally in favor of the precious metal over the last couple of years. Even in the current year the analysts have predicted higher rallies courtesy of the fact that the speculators have been busy consolidating their positions in the market. It is further opined that countries like India, which is the largest consumer of gold, are likely to generate more wealth and disposable income resulting in enhanced appetite for the yellow metal. My research brought me to five highly regarded gold stocks, which


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