BORROWING OR SHORTING PRECIOUS METALS CAN CREATE UNLIMITED
RISK
A. If one borrows or
shorts precious metals, such activity can carry unlimited risk. (The risks in borrowing or shorting silver,
platinum and palladium are usually greater than the risks in borrowing or
shorting gold as there is less liquidity in the silver, platinum and palladium
markets.)
B. The prices of
precious metals can fluctuate in wide ranges over relatively short periods of
time, and from time to time have done so, and could double or more in an
instant under certain circumstances.
C. POTENTIAL UP MARKET
RISK
For example, if someone had borrowed 1,000 ounces of
gold from A-Mark, basis $300/ounce, giving A-Mark 110% in good funds, or a
Letter of Credit as Collateral ($330,000), and, while holding the borrowed gold
outstanding, gold closed in the U.S. at $300.00 and then opened a few hours
later in Australia at $500, based on that $200/ounce increase, the deficit on
the 1,000-ounce short position would be $170,000.
A-Mark, per the
terms of its Agreements with its customers, would have the option to “buy in”
the position, basis the $500/ounce price, to protect from the possibility that
gold could continue to increase in price, which would increase the deficit.
After the
above-described liquidation of the position (say at $500/ounce), A-Mark would
apply the $330,000 in good funds deposit or L/C against the price of gold plus
the deficit. The borrower or shorter
would then still owe A-Mark the deficit of $170,000 ($500,000 less the $330,000
of collateral) on the closeout of the 1,000-oz. position.
If at the time of
the close out of the above 1,000-ounce position, the party had the gold
physically in his possession and unsold, then that inventory would have
increased in value from $300,000 to $500,000 and the deficit owed A-Mark would
be covered by the increase in the value of the 1,000 ounces of inventory.
However, if the borrower had sold the inventory and hadn’t yet purchased it back or re-loaned it to someone who couldn’t or wouldn’t return it, they could immediately owe the $170,000.
D. There
is always the potential that world events will cause sudden and unpredictable
calamitous price fluctuations that could cause us to liquidate positions unless
the borrower had adequate protections in place.
E. The best protection
to such up-market risk is to:
– If one is a borrower of gold,
i. Make sure always
to have the gold that is borrowed.
ii. If shorting gold,
limit shorts to amounts manageable if the price of gold went way up.
iii. Keep buy “stops”,
although they often aren’t guaranteed to be executed.
iv. Deposit additional good funds or precious metals with the lender, as a
cushion in the event of a rapid increase in the gold price.
v. Anticipate and
closely watch and plan for events that could cause the market to rise or
skyrocket.
vi. Have lines of credit available from which to draw in case of a large
margin call.
– If a lender of gold,
i. Lend metal
only to creditworthy customers (and/or secured by like metal or by a like metal
denominated Letter of Credit) where margin calls can be easily and immediately
met by the borrower, even of a doubling of the metal price.
Los Angeles Federal Armored
550 S. Hill Street, Suite 1635
Los Angeles, CA 90013Metals and coins may be shipped to us by the carrier of your choice. However, we are not responsible for metals or coins that are lost or damaged in transit. If you would like your shipment to us to be insured, it is your responsibility to make your own arrangements.